Unfortunately, that’s also when Mother Nature strikes again with some limiting lizard brain tendencies. It is exceptionally challenging for business owners to pivot their strategy, because of two important psychological phenomena:
The Sunk Cost Effect
The sunk cost effect is the general tendency for people to continue an endeavor (even if it’s the wrong one), because they’ve invested time or money toward it – thereby “honoring” those sunk costs. It’s considered a logical fallacy from a decision-making perspective, since theoretically sunk costs should be weighed equally with prospective costs – in other words, future costs that may be avoided if action is taken.
This can apply to everything from romantic relationships to carnival games, but in the business world it often applies to leaders unwilling to abandon an idea or model they’ve already put energy behind.
The Endowment Effect
The endowment effect refers to an emotional bias that causes us to overvalue something we own, regardless its objective market value. This means that if I were to offer you a choice between $10 or a coffee mug, you’ll likely take the $10. But if, instead, I give you the mug and then offer you $10 for it, you’ll value the mug higher than $10 (and reject my offer), simply because it’s already in your possession.
The endowment effect shows that people put a higher price on losing something than on gaining it – which, in the business world, means a tendency to hold tightly to what we have (even if it’s broken or failing), in relation to what’s possible (yet uncertain). This causes you to avoid risk and miss opportunities.
Crafting a New Vision
Companies that are able to overcome these psychological tendencies to cast a new vision will be well-positioned not only for the impacts of COVID-19, but whatever else the future has in store for the business world – including the upcoming election, an impending recession, and more. But how do you do it?
- Find opportunity in change. Change is often met with resistance or fear, and it’s easy to get hung up on its potential negative impacts. But what new possibilities has this new business environment produced that you might not be seeing yet? For example, Kinesis used to be limited geographically to in-person meetings. Today, buyer behavior has shifted – enabling us to both sell and deliver services remotely. As a result, our footprint has expanded and we’re able to serve clients nationwide. Other businesses are clueing into this as well, with even manufacturers now conducting virtual facility tours.
- Take a risk. As the sunk cost and endowment effects have shown us, humans are inherently risk-averse… especially when it comes to sacrificing what you’ve already built. But the organizations comfortable risking revenue or customers in the short-term for what could be possible long-term are the ones that will come out on top. That means painting a bold picture and committing to it… not inching along with small, incremental changes.
- Create something new. Being bold also means carving out a brand-new space for yourself in the marketplace. That could mean targeting a wholly underserved customer, expanding your offering, or just reimagining how you show up in the world. Proceed with caution, however, since many will be seeking out the same blue ocean. (Read: The entire business world’s recent foray into digital and content marketing.) How can you approach it in a way that no one else has?
- Build on what’s working. Creating something new doesn’t have to mean starting from scratch. Last year, our client Solid Form hosted an unconference that brought together educators and business leaders from across the region. This year, we moved the event online and saw attendance double. How can you leverage and expand upon previous successes in this new environment?
It’s clear that COVID-19 isn’t going away anytime soon – which means the time for transformation is now. Pivot your vision and strategy to account for this new reality, and watch your business become the new king (or queen) of the jungle.
Need help modifying your vision as we enter the new year? Learn about our True North process.